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Extrapolation, as a book category, refers to fiction and nonfiction that takes present-day technologies, social trends, scientific theories, or policy trajectories and projects their logical, plausible consequences into the near or far future. Works in this category prioritize cause-and-effect reasoning and plausibility over whimsy or purely fantastical inventions: they ask “given X today, what happens next?” and explore the human, political, ecological, and ethical fallout. Extrapolation can be hard science-based (focusing on tech and physics), social-science-driven (probing demographics, economics, governance), or hybrid, and it often reads as cautionary, investigative, or thought-experimental rather than escapist. Readers of extrapolation expect rigorous imagining, attention to systems and details, and stories that illuminate how incremental changes compound into new realities.

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