This list of books are ONLY the books that have been ranked on the lists that are aggregated on this site. This is not a comprehensive list of all books by this author.

1. 1. Dance With Chance

   Making Luck Work for You

   

   A concise guide to making better decisions under uncertainty, it explains how randomness shapes outcomes, why people misjudge risk, and where expert forecasts often fail. Drawing on research and vivid examples, it exposes cognitive traps like overconfidence and seeing patterns in noise. It offers practical, robust tactics—diversification, insurance, safety margins, scenario planning, and focusing on consequences rather than precise probabilities—to protect the downside while preserving upside in business and everyday life.

2. 2. Statistical And Machine Learning Forecasting Methods

   

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