Arif Ahmed
British philosopher and academic, Professor of Philosophy at the University of Cambridge, known for work in philosophy of probability, epistemology, and related areas.
Books
This list of books are ONLY the books that have been ranked on the lists that are aggregated on this site. This is not a comprehensive list of all books by this author.
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1. Newcomb's Problem
A concise examination of the famous decision-theory puzzle in which a highly reliable predictor fills one or two boxes and a chooser must decide whether to take only the opaque box or both boxes, using that scenario to probe competing frameworks for rational choice. The book clarifies the formal structure and history of Newcomb-style problems, contrasts causal, evidential, and game-theoretic approaches, evaluates arguments based on expected utility, dominance, and predictive information, and explores variations and objections. Throughout it highlights how the puzzle bears on broader philosophical issues—causation, probability, confirmation, agency, and the foundations of decision theory—providing clear exposition of technical distinctions and their practical consequences for reasoning under uncertainty.
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2. Evidence, Decision And Causality
A systematic philosophical treatment of how evidence, probability, and causal relations should inform rational belief and choice, arguing for a unified probabilistic framework that links confirmation theory and decision theory; it examines how evidence ought to update credences, how causal knowledge interacts with evidential considerations in guiding action, and how formal tools from probability theory can illuminate debates about explanation, confirmation, and rational choice under uncertainty, while critiquing rival approaches and illustrating implications for scientific and everyday reasoning.
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3. Saul Kripke
A concise, accessible introduction to Saul Kripke’s central contributions, explaining his modal semantics (Kripke frames and possible-worlds reasoning), his causal-historical account of reference and rigid designation as a decisive challenge to descriptivist theories, and his striking claims about the necessary a posteriori and the contingent a priori. The book also outlines his influential work on formal theories of truth and his later reflections on rule-following and skepticism, situating these ideas in context, clarifying key arguments with examples, and assessing their lasting impact on contemporary philosophy.
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