The Fourth Turning Is Here by Neil Howe

What the Cycles of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End

Using a generational-cycle framework, the book argues that Western history moves through four recurring “turnings” and that the present era is a crisis-phase characterized by institutional breakdown, rising polarization, economic and geopolitical stress, and rapid technological change. It traces past fourth turnings to show patterns of hardship followed by transformative renewal, explains how generational archetypes shape public behavior during such crises, and outlines likely scenarios, risk points, and practical steps leaders and citizens can take to navigate disruption and help rebuild civic institutions.

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