The Skeptics' Guide To The Future by Steven Novella
What Science and Reason Tell Us About the Changes to Come
A practical guide to applying skeptical, scientific thinking to predictions about science, technology, and society, teaching readers how to distinguish speculation from evidence-based forecasting by using probability, Bayesian reasoning, awareness of cognitive biases, and scenario planning; it applies these tools to topics such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, climate change, and geopolitical risk, emphasizing uncertainty, risk management, and the ethical and policy implications of forward-looking claims while urging humility and clear thinking when assessing what the future may hold.
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- Original Language
- English
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