Probably Overthinking It by Kirstin Downey

How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Pitfalls, and Make Better Decisions

A concise, approachable guide to using data and simple statistical tools to answer messy, real-world questions. Through clear explanations, simulations, and case studies drawn from everyday life and public debates, it shows how to frame inquiries, test assumptions, quantify uncertainty, and avoid common reasoning pitfalls, empowering readers to replace hunches with evidence and think more clearly about the world.